CDC’s latest report of the rate of ASD diagnosis is stunning: 1 in 59 kids by age 8, four years ago, had a diagnosis of ASD. In boys, the rate was 1 in 34. News outlets report that ASD rates are still increasing, and no one knows why.
But a close read of the report reveals that actual rates could be much higher:
(1) They used DSM-IV criteria for prevalence data. DSM-5 was published May, 2013 – so the prevalence data using DSM-5 only should have been applied. Their use of DSM-IV criteria results in a lower rate. Using DSM-5 criteria, the rate is 1 in 29.
(2) They had a committee of experts review the cases of people at the 11 monitoring sites – any ONE of the members of the committee could rule OUT a case of ASD if they thought the DSM-IV criteria did not apply, or if other diagnoses better explained the child’s condition. I review the importance of understanding the difference between co-occurrence and co-morbidity in “The Environmental and Genetic Causes of Autism“. A child with Down’s syndrome, for example, could also have an autism diagnosis. ASD can occur to any human brain with other recognizable conditions. In some cases, where biological pathways overlap (e.g., seizures), the co-occurrence is true co-morbidity, but seizure disorder would not replace a diagnosis of ASD They did not review all non-ASD diagnoses to allow anyone ONE member of the committee to RULE IN non-ASD diagnoses and false negative diagnoses of ASD.
So the rates to report for 2014 prevalence (reported in 2018) are
“at least” 1 in 59 (DSM-IV), and “at least” 1 in 29 (DSM-5).
I have adjusted SafeMind’s plot to reflect the binary nature of CDC’s report. They are a fantastic organization who should have your support. They have not been consulted on this adjustment, and the views expressed in this analysis are my own.
No one is diagnosed using DSM-IV criteria; DSM-V has been the standard since before 2014.
Currently, in 2018, the rates are likely as high as 1 in 20 under DSM-V, and may be as high as 1 in 15. In 2022, the rates will be 1 in 8 to 1 in 6. In 2026, 1 in 3 to 1 in 2.
If you’re living in the US, and you’re not banging down the door of your Congressional Representative demanding Neurodevelopment Research Reform to find safe ways to get aluminum out of our diets, the CDC schedule, and our childrens’ and your own brains, you are a silent witness to the end of America. Remember the baby boomers are going to descend into Alzheimer’s in the same time period.
Chelation is not a bad word. Support IPAK and the Neurodevelopment Research Reform. We want to directly support human clinical trials of intranasal insulin and intranasal deferoxamine by Dr. Richard Frey. We want to support studies of ketogenic diet by Dr Toni Bark. We want to support research on entire school-wide intervention. We are running a national initiative called Brain Health 2030 – where the truth is told, and communities take a pledge to increase brain health.
We want to transfer what we are learning about treating stroke and traumatic brain injury over to ASD. We are working to teach the FDA that the CDC’s schedule has too much aluminum. We need YOUR help.
PLEASE join the IPAK “5 4 5” Program – pledge $5/mo and tag 5 people on social media to join you in your pledge – and then they tag 5 people… it’s very simple, just share this article on social media, or do a little video, and share this link and this graphic:
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Can’t donate? What else can you do? Share this article and challenge five people anyway.
Buy Zero Water filters for everyone you know. Buy silicic acid drops for their birthday. Don’t eat pesticides. DEMAND reform of the CDC schedule. DEMAND that the FDA ban vaccination in pregnant women and infants before one year – the way it was before the epidemic. DEMAND the cessation of the use of folic acid in prenatal vitamins – it should be methyl folate instead. DEMAND the removal of aluminum from vaccines. DEMAND a ban on thimerosal use in vaccines. DEMAND an AUTOMATED ACTIVE TRACKING SYSTEM for vaccine injuries I know THOUSANDS of people who work on these issues EVERY DAY. We need to FEAR NOT the persecution and name-calling. FEAR NOT those who would judge you.
Pass a law in your state to mandate real-time publication of state-wide estimates of ASD using insurance codes. Fight for expansion of patient and parent’s rights in your state for freedom of choice.
IF YOU ARE AN MD SITTING IN SILENCE, IT’S TIME TO SPEAK UP. WE NEED YOU.
Most of all, work every day to get the toxins out of our life.