AMERICANS are highly distracted.  They won’t recall the efficacy of the flu vaccine from year to year.  That’s why Sanjay Gupta can go on the news and remind us that his 30% estimate (likely an overestimate) of how well the flu vaccine works is not like past years, the good old days in which the vaccine was 60-70% effective, and not bat an eye.

But when was the last time the flu vaccine was 60-70% effective?  Eight years ago:


This is the CDC’s data (link).  Clearly, Gupta’s “Years” is, in immunological memory, a singular “Year”. Only once out of the last 14 years was the flu vaccine above 59% – that the value was not 60-70%, it was 60%.

This type of misrepresentation is a consistent penchant within the media and of course from the CDC to exaggerate and highly emphasize only positive views and diminish, dismiss, or ignore any negative views on the safety and efficacy of vaccines.

The reality is the flu vaccination program has an average adjusted efficacy of 40%. In 10/14 years, the efficacy was <50% effective.  That’s deplorable. And the problem is not ‘herd immunity’.  The problem is the vaccine is self-defeating.

The Jury is In: The Flu Vaccine Reduces its Own Efficacy

Too many studies now exist that have independently come to the same conclusion: increases in the uptake of flu vaccine reduces that vaccine’s effectiveness in the following year – and some studies show the negative effects of mass influenza vaccination last two years.

The studies reporting those results are reviewed in my article, “Diseases with Unknown Etiology Trace Back to Mass Vaccination Against Influenza in 1976“, and they are extensive and damning.

That post also includes the results of an analysis that I performed on CDC’s own data, showing that increases in the uptake of flu vaccine in a given year reduces efficacy of the vaccine for the following two years by a factor of -1.167.   Assuming a linear relationship, the model predicts the absurd prediction that at 93% uptake, the flu vaccine will have zero efficacy in the following two years.  That means “negative global efficacy” at or above 94% uptake.

It’s not absurd because the model is wrong; it is absurd because the vaccine reduces net immunity. Enough science exists that shows reduced efficacy due to past uptake (again, all reviewed here). It’s absurd because mass vaccination has unforeseen effects that make it self-defeating.  A better word than absurd would be “disastrous”.  More people would be diagnosed with “flu” that exist in the population at 100% coverage.  What does that tell you?

Well, being the eternal objectivist (not the Ayn Rand type, the other, warmer type), the fact is that extrapolations are not trustworthy.  And that’s true, but not in the universal sense.  If extrapolation could not be made to work, we could not have landed on the moon, on Mars, on Jupiter’s moon Titan, or driven our cars out of our driveways, for that matter.  Sometimes extrapolations do work. The model could also tell be telling us that the extent of immune impairment could be so high that the rate of infections from non-influenza viruses could surpass 100%, meaning many people could have 2, or 3 types of non-influenza respiratory viruses and multiple reasons for diagnosis with “the flu”.

I’m content not to need the extrapolation. The direct evidence that exists that Thimerosal is not safe for the human immune system is overwhelming: it shuts down the protein ERAP1,  We need ERAP1 to shorten proteins bounds for the Class 1 MHC cell surface.   Like pertussis, influenza is also sustained to a degree by silent carriers created by vaccination with non-specific effects.  Certainly live shedding is high among the vaccinated (study cited here).  Why don’t we see CDC informing every doctor to swab for influenza types A and B (including 2009-H1N1), RSV types A and B, parainfluenza types 1–4, metapneumovirus, rhinovirus, coxsackievirus/echovirus, adenovirus types B and E, bocavirus, and coronavirus types NL63, HKU1, 229E, and OC43, all types tested for by the ResPlex II multiplex assay – and each pathogen a type of viral respiratory infection that can mimic the flu?  I don’t have that answer.  But it seems since such a small proportion of cases are H. influenza infection, the default treatment of patients for “flu” without a real diagnosis would be unethical, but that’s precisely what happens.  According to Dr. Hawk, about 2/3 of the cases of “flu” seen are influenza – the rest, he says, would be false positives diagnoses (if made without swabbing).

Patients have a right to know the specific nature of their infections, and survivors in families of those who die from respiratory infections deserve an accurate cause of death. Coroners should certainly be required to provide an accurate cause of death in so-called “flu” mortalities.  Health departments should be required to count only deaths due to confirmed influenza infection as “flu” – otherwise their numbers perpetuate misperception on the risk of influenza infection, and cause fear leading to increased vaccination.  How is this seen as a good thing?  The population deserves good and honest doctors and stewards of public health.

HHS could demand swab results for all suspected cases of “flu deaths” with a press release and enforce them with random audits.  This annual ritual of fear-mongering over “flu-deaths” hides the fact that as long as thimerosal is injected into patients, they are at increased risk of other infections.  And due to heterologous immunity, even without thimerosal, flu vaccines can confuse the immune system and muddle up ineffective immune response by trying to re-purpose B-cells trained on the wrong virus, hobbling the immune system making it unresponsive to similar viruses.  Such as next year’s flu strain.

We do need objectivity to arise immediately throughout the public health system in the US, starting with HHS, then to CDC and to all Health Departments around the country.  Many studies have also found problems with Tamiflu.  But no emergency epidemiological study is addressing the question – why are so many young people dying from “flu”?   Many of the reports I’ve seen include mention that they person had not only been vaccinated, they also had taken Tamiflu. And many had taken Tylenol.   It’s time to ask the tough questions. The science is there on problems with Tylenol for vaccine-induced fever, and it must be taken into consideration.  Fever due to respiratory infections after flu vaccination is still vaccine-induced.

A look at the issues with Tamiflu (see primary scientific literature reviewed here) shows that we cannot ignore the possibility that the human immune system is not infinitely resilient, and that medicine’s approaches to tackling “the flu” is imprecise, not evidence-based, and self-defeating.  I’m not talking about the number of antigens the human body can take; I’m talking about the amount of tweaking it can tolerate, especially given the aluminum-dense childhood vaccination schedule. The allopathic medical community would do very well to heed the studies that show that Vitamin D helps alleviate both vaccine injury and severity of viral infections.  It helps resolve the unfolded protein response without killing the cells. And the science of ER stress (endoplasmic reticulum stress) shows that Thimerosal is, after all, not safe for human use.  Same for aluminum.

Management of Risk vs. Management of Risk Perception

So let’s consider (again) the differences between an organization that has, historically anyway, been provided with our Nation’s trust of the control of risk (reality), and upon failing to do so, works overtime to the control of perception of risk (non-reality).  Public health depends on trust.  The public trust for CDC is not just waning – it’s gone.  They rely on top-down funded advocacy organizations to truss up their tarnished public image – and the individuals invariable end up attacking the character of anyone who dares ask important and relevant questions. Increasing number of academics are calling for an end to CDC policies, such as the blithe use of aluminum, a neurotoxin, in vaccines, and the continued use of Thimerosal in vaccines.

Real Reform is Coming – It’s a Mathematical Certainty

Vaccines injure people every day, and kill people every week.  Each injury and death informs family members, co-workers, and schoolmates.  The flaws in vaccines, combined with misinformation campaigns on safety, fuel the fire and build the vaccine risk aware army.  It’s a peaceful army, filled with individuals who are hurt so badly, they do not want others to suffer the same fate.  They are altruistic.  And under informed, ethical and distributed leadership, they are finding their momentum.

Vaccine safety science reform means removing those in the CDC and HHS that perpetuated the debacle as it grew to proportions that even they could no longer easily deny it.  And that’s fine.  Let them go.  There are many excellent professionals capable of replacing them – people who have not been involved in cooking studies to alter the public’s perception of vaccine risk. People who have withstood unwarranted and unfair criticism by those who live in cowardice of reality.  People who now no longer afraid to publish their views.   An important question is who among my colleagues in Academic Public Health, and which doctors in Pediatric medicine are willing to #bebrave and take on a debacle as huge as a failed national immunization program?  Who will stand up to the AAP and tell them they are wrong?

If you are that type of doctor, it will be easier if you trust those who have worked at this for years. Read Dr. Paul Thomas’ book, The Vaccine Friendly Plan.  After the resignations, have him come and teach the entire CDC and HHS what he knows.  Consider Dr. Alvin Moss’s wisdom – ask him to create a Conflicts of Interest Policy for CDC and HHS, as he has done for the rest of academic medicine. Bring in Dr. Bob Sears from California, who was willing to stare down threats of the loss of his license to practice medicine because he dared to continue to practice medicine in the face of wanton misinformation and pressure from the AAP. Consider Dr. Richard Frye, and Dr. Chris Exley from the UK, who care first and foremost about the truths that impact total health.  Dr. Frye would be great as the new NIH Director, in my opinion. Let these people form a new national public health direction that overrides existing contracts.  There are others.  Like Dr. Judy Mikovits whose character stands much taller than those who tried – and failed – to silence her – on the issue of adventitious agents in viral vaccines (specifically and quite problematic: retroviruses).  Ask Dr. Ted Fogarty about Ethical Vaccinomics, and testing for vaccine injuries. Bring in Dr. John Piesse from Australia and end his persecution there, and put his good will toward safety to work here.  We would be lucky to have him.

Create a Manhattan Project focused on reducing vaccine injuries, not on making currently licensed vaccines safer.  They are old, and stale, and tired, and they, too, need to go.  Bring in exciting new developments in artificial immunization like microneedle patches.  Bring in Dr. Kanduc to screen epitopes that are unsafe.  Drop aluminum, as many have now called for, and bring in calcium carbonate – if needed at all.  Let those pharmaceutical companies who created the disaster make good on their promises to stop making their vaccines.  Then we will see new approaches to artificial immunization that compete on the platform of safety.

Don’t just end COIs at ACIP: End ACIP. Create a Vaccine Safety Commission that enforces Science Integrity. Open up the markets.  Let ideas thrive.  Let consumers choose. Let the FDA do its job.  Let the people’s experiences be heard.  Establish a paradigm in which the end consumer has a say in the quality of the product.  Strip the CDC of the ability to hold patents.  End the CDC Foundation. End the differences between drugs and biologics and require randomized clinical trials – with proper placebos, not aluminum hydroxide – for vaccines.  Repeal the 1986 Act that protects drug companies from liability for faulty vaccines. Perform random spot checks of vaccines in practices for contamination. The total sum of policies in the National Immunization Program, and the burden of morbidity on the population is a serious threat to our National Security.

Let some new faces and voices drive this reform. Bring in Dr. Dan Neides who had to escape the Cleveland Clinic after speaking his conscience.  Let him oversee the transition.  Bring in Dr. Brian Hooker to personally issue the pink slips to those who must now go from the CDC.  Let all of those named here share his or her experience with Congress.  Have Dr. Thompson testify.  We need truth and reconciliation.  And we need it 42 years ago.

There are MDs who sit in the shadows, silent, and afraid of job loss, sanction, ridicule.  Step up.  Let your views be known to the current Administration.  Join Physicians for Informed Consent.  You are not alone.  You can help be part of the solution.  Attend Health Department meetings and speak up for Informed Consent.  Speak up for vaccine exclusions for kids in homes with high lead levels.  Speak up for spacing out vaccines and skipping them.  Speak up for tolerance and understanding of the pain and anguish parents of kids with autism experience when they are told it’s genetic, they know it’s environmental, and they are told they have to vaccinate their other babies.  Speak up against calling CPS for parents who want to take the time they have under the law to consider vaccinations. And, of course, do right by your patients.  Listen to their concerns.  Inform them of both risks and benefits, as required by Federal Regulations.  Let them know they are enrolling themselves or their children (and unborn baby) in post-licensure vaccine safety clinical trials (as required by Federal Regulations). Provide medical and philosophical exemptions for school waivers as required by the laws of your state and the rule of your own conscience.  The AAP does not represent the rights and will of the people of the United States of America.  Our legislation does.

Let’s aim to not make 2020 vaccination look anything like 2019.  We have solutions.  We’re now aiming for Healthy People 2050, and the current vaccines have very little to do with our vision.  By the way, these ideas don’t come (exclusively) from me. They are shared by hundreds of thousands of American citizens, many of whom have been made sick or lost loved ones to vaccines. #werenotgoingaway #releasetheothermemos #hearthiswell #notmine #Vaxxed #cdctruth #saveourbabies #bebrave #ipak #cdcwhistleblower #rfkcommission #educatebeforeyouvaccinate #vaxxed #learntherisk #wedid #cdclied #stopmandatoryvaccination #learntherisk





5 thoughts on “A Message to Ethical MDs: The Problem with the 2017-8 Flu Vaccine is the 2016-7 Flu Vaccine

  1. Re “Vaccines injure people every day, and kill people every week”. I count SUIDS deaths as primarily due to vaccines, so the immediate death toll is ~10/day just in the United States. When you count indirect deaths from cancer, autism, suicides, it’s much higher.

    When you look at the number of kids seriously and permanently injured, the number gets much higher — 10s or hundreds per day have their lives destroyed, and their parent’s lives changed forever.


  2. This is my first time hearing of your work, James. GREAT article I will be sharing this with many others! You might find my deconstruction of one of the articles CDC had on their website that supposedly showed those vaccinated for influenza were less likely to end up hospitalized with pneumonia than their unvaccinated counterparts, of interest.


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